Archive for 'Economic and Investment'

The first three months of 2013 have seen risk-asset markets continue their strong run, as policy intervention from central banks has underpinned investor sentiment. Despite potentially unsettling event risk and a mixed macro-economic backdrop, equities have performed very strongly, particularly in the US and Japan.

Throughout the quarter US policy makers have taken a measured approach to fiscal reform, starting on New Year’s Eve by avoiding the potentially destructive fiscal cliff, choosing instead to reduce the fiscal ...

Human behaviour is influenced by various emotions, whether it be love, desire, exuberance or fear, panic and jealousy. When they take over they impair our judgement and cause us to behave in very strange and irrational ways. We all have such memories which stir thoughts of ‘what made me do that?’ This behavioural sentiment is key to many economic and investment data; consumer and business confidence is published on a regular basis, with investment markets paying heed to ...

With the equity euphoria in full sway, we have for a long time been bearish, acutely conscious of the possibility of another 2008 equity market sell off. Our views are shared by a number of ‘chartists’; chartists are those who use historical data to analyse repeatable patterns to predict future market trends. One firm we follow, Full Circle Asset Management Ltd, www.fullcircle.co.uk have been reinforcing their views that a major market correction is forthcoming. Our guest market commentary comes from ...